Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 14.155974 16.079797 18.120354 20.440788 23.001030 25.734271 28.867482
2025-01-12 10.588484 13.082603 15.908210 19.326688 23.329591 27.847070 33.308446
2025-01-19 8.065445 10.797417 14.090102 18.306168 23.512449 29.679950 37.482880
2025-01-26 6.934007 9.968296 13.829085 19.018588 25.718681 33.978315 44.818614
2025-02-02 6.393926 9.787480 14.313945 20.655593 29.154269 39.980657 54.619385
2025-02-09 5.703189 9.283806 14.282869 21.568012 31.677627 44.951812 63.393943
2025-02-16 4.897606 8.485236 13.728452 21.671508 33.073083 48.483082 70.448685
2025-02-23 4.105866 7.579374 12.894597 21.261217 33.672384 50.919556 76.110149
2025-03-02 3.490447 6.851505 12.225835 20.995924 34.408421 53.527409 82.075341
2025-03-09 3.049170 6.340719 11.823112 21.069037 35.603362 56.796794 89.065495
2025-03-16 2.620304 5.781471 11.269373 20.834425 36.284137 59.317244 95.055970
2025-03-23 2.447072 5.663481 11.434891 21.758223 38.788761 64.616358 105.274967
2025-03-30 2.164399 5.302562 11.157162 21.949866 40.192991 68.404467 113.549862
2025-04-06 1.792604 4.697495 10.369087 21.193571 40.003232 69.736551 118.196512
2025-04-13 1.469245 4.131081 9.577779 20.345686 39.582450 70.660200 122.231718
2025-04-20 1.381798 4.076458 9.767456 21.284888 42.238832 76.574740 134.221435
2025-04-27 1.394927 4.260318 10.450283 23.187071 46.658106 85.502279 151.249577
2025-05-04 1.325120 4.230429 10.689118 24.258782 49.667514 92.239912 165.024526
2025-05-11 1.183643 3.993717 10.465945 24.415064 51.045355 96.331640 174.693148
2025-05-18 1.015570 3.651542 9.971779 23.987903 51.327624 98.586505 181.445671
2025-05-25 0.880392 3.369060 9.572678 23.710396 51.853391 101.252379 188.934399
2025-06-01 0.785276 3.180576 9.363899 23.800828 53.058111 105.105938 198.481889
2025-06-08 0.682377 2.943641 9.009056 23.547222 53.581000 107.779495 206.122613